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External Threats and Political Tolerance in Taiwan

There is a potentially troubling implication to these findings. Would-be secessionists might see violence as an effective strategy to sway public opinion in favor of partition. However, recent research on secessions suggests that this type of violence can have negative consequences in the long run, as peaceful partitions are more likely to result in post-separation peace than their violent counterparts (Tir, 2005). Our research suggests several avenues for future research. We have shown that violence exposure in 2005 continued to affect Northern political attitudes five years later, but it is reasonable to ask if this effect will decay over time and at what rate. More generally, we believe future research should consider partition as a dynamic process.